SA’s nuanced Ukraine stance: DIRCO’s sharpened tone ahead of historic G20 presidency

As South Africa readies to become the first African nation to assume the G20 presidency in November 2025, its diplomatic positioning on the war in Ukraine appears to be undergoing a subtle yet perceptible shift. A recent statement from the Department of International Relations and Cooperation (DIRCO) has ignited debate over whether the move signals tactical recalibration or a deeper change in foreign policy approach.

Under the stewardship of Minister Ronald Lamola, DIRCO released a communiqué a week ago expressing “grave concern” over recent civilian casualties in Ukraine. While South Africa has consistently advocated for peaceful negotiation and remains formally non-aligned, the language used in the latest release marks a departure from its traditionally guarded neutrality, appearing to assign blame more directly than in previous comments.

The conflict has witnessed numerous similar incidents over its duration, yet DIRCO’s decision to issue a strongly worded condemnation just weeks before South Africa takes centre stage at the G20 suggests calculated diplomatic positioning. This has led to speculation that Pretoria is fine-tuning its messaging to navigate complex international expectations.

The move comes at a sensitive juncture for South Africa’s foreign policy. A successful G20 summit – championing the theme “Solidarity, Equality, Sustainability” – depends heavily on cooperation from Western nations. Yet recent tensions, including trade tariffs imposed by the US and uncertainty around President Donald Trump’s attendance, have placed Pretoria in a delicate position.

Some experts suggest that DIRCO’s sharper tone may be an attempt to ease strained relations with key Western partners ahead of the high-profile summit. The challenge for Minister Lamola will be to balance this tactical outreach against South Africa’s longstanding commitment to non-alignment and independent diplomacy – a balancing act closely watched by both Global South allies and international observers.

How Lamola’s DIRCO manages this nuanced stance in the coming months will be critical. As the first African host of the G20, South Africa’s credibility as a voice of the Global South – and a bridge between developed and emerging economies – may hinge on its ability to project consistency amid escalating global tensions.